how high is the chance for me to ever get any special event white? (excluding sanic head)



  • so... how high is the chance to get one when i use a loot drop potion on every boshy and megaman
    (excluding sanic head cause you can buy it) and play 8 hours a day? (for 1.5 years)

    and i know that i might never get one ever ;-; (leik eevv ju kri ewri tim)



  • well it's still luck, so you might not get one huehue


  • I don't care

    0_1466629012519_upload-40c71ef9-678f-4c0a-af99-3d0e2dfeb140

    0_1466629039602_upload-1869d21d-69e3-4fcd-9f31-daaf3ae3bdea

    0_1466629055584_upload-90763e7a-dfc5-4c89-8428-676528070d70

    0_1466629075661_upload-72b096e9-9ec2-4e50-8cf0-8e11ce012a92

    There's the drop rates of all of the rare event whites. (excluding sanic head like you said)



  • welp , let me do it... 1.5 years is about 500 days
    every realm (i think ) is like every 30 minutes
    thats 16 realms per day and when i farm events all the time we get like 8 per day
    but 2 of them are sanics so were left with 6
    500x4 with loot drop (cause i wont use them on kids) are 2000x1.5=3000 + 500x2 = 4000
    megamans are dropping 2 different ones 1:8000 (about 1:4k)
    and boshys are droping with 1:10000
    kids are dropping with 1:8000 aswell
    10000+8000+4000 = 22000 : 3 = about 7300

    final chance
    4000:7300 = 54.7% (not rly accurate cause i use loot drop on mega (2 items) )



  • Don't do this stupid math. It's RNG - Random Number Generator.
    Go to https://www.random.org/


  • Everlasting Destiny

    well i could be wrong, but 8 hours = 480 mins
    Kid + Megaman + boshy + Sanic= 3% chance of occuring.
    If every quest is completed in 5 minutes (factoring in all of the glands cubes and avatars that noone wants to kill), there are roughly 2.88 appearances of the rare quests.
    so every day the chance for you to get a white would be 0.000475 x 2.88 = 0.0071% chance.
    1.5 years would be 547.5 x 0.0071 = 3.88725% of getting one in 1.5 years.
    With loot booster thingy, 3.88725 x 1.5 = 5.830875% chance of ever getting one



  • @LagoonZz said in how high is the chance for me to ever get any special event white? (excluding sanic head):

    so every day the chance for you to get a white would be 0.000475 x 2.88 = 0.0071% chance.

    lets talk about that boshy gun has a 0.01% drop chance
    i think you did something wrong there



  • Okay, I'm going to try the math here. Haven't done this in forever so I'll probably screw it up.

    Drop rate for Megaman is at 1:4000, Boshy at 1:10000, and Kid at 1:8000.
    We'll find the average since we don't know exactly how many will spawn per realm.
    4000+8000+10000 / 3 = 1:7333 average chance per event

    You said you were finding an average of 6 events per day. We'll use that number.
    7333 / 6 = ~1:1222 chance per day.
    That means over 1.5 years at 8hrs per day, you should get about 0.45 items.

    If we use a loot drop potion on every one, we'll get ~1:815 chance per day.
    That means over 1.5 years at 8hrs per day, you should get about 0.67 items.
    Therefore it will take an average of about 2.25 years to get one item.

    This looks right to me, I think..? Anyway, it's all up to whether RNGesus wishes to bless you.


  • Noah's Ark ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)

    @Icadragon said in how high is the chance for me to ever get any special event white? (excluding sanic head):

    welp , let me do it... 1.5 years is about 500 days
    every realm (i think ) is like every 30 minutes
    thats 16 realms per day and when i farm events all the time we get like 8 per day
    but 2 of them are sanics so were left with 6
    500x4 with loot drop (cause i wont use them on kids) are 2000x1.5=3000 + 500x2 = 4000
    megamans are dropping 2 different ones 1:8000 (about 1:4k)
    and boshys are droping with 1:10000
    kids are dropping with 1:8000 aswell
    10000+8000+4000 = 22000 : 3 = about 7300

    final chance
    4000:7300 = 54.7% (not rly accurate cause i use loot drop on mega (2 items) )

    Mathmatics I am not good at.
    So heres some Beavis and Butthead footage that has great visuals.


    Also for on topicness fire sword.


  • Banned

    @Wizardism Do have time to talk about our lord and saviour, RNGesus?



  • @Icadragon said in how high is the chance for me to ever get any special event white? (excluding sanic head):

    every realm (i think ) is like every 30 minutes
    thats 16 realms per day and when i farm events all the time we get like 8 per day

    play more than 8 hours a day
    increase odds
    profit ??? ??? ??? ???


  • Meme

    @Icadragon
    So I tried to make a formula:

    1.5(((t*100)/(1.5x)/2920)*1.25)=y

    t is the amount of time an event boss gets defeated in realm (important: you have to convert to hours)
    x is the items droprate
    y is the chance to obtain the item if you play 8/7, always with lootdrop and always get soulbound dmg

    I didnt't calculated the time oryx and server reboots take so you can expect the odds to be smaller then the ones you'll calculate


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